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Wu Peng: US Dollar Index Picked Up Slightly

2015/4/9 22:00:00 16

Wu PengUS DollarIndex

Minutes of the Fed meeting: Fed officials have different opinions on raising interest rates in June. Officials believe that June is the timing of the first increase in interest rates. Others believe that given the fall in energy prices and the appreciation of the US dollar,

inflation

It is not appropriate to raise interest rates later in 2015.

According to the number of participants, the economic outlook has decided that the timing of interest rate hike may not be launched until 2016. There is no simple signal to raise interest rates.

Fed officials predict that the actual GDP growth in the first half of the year is less than that predicted in January, and the actual GDP growth in 2015 and 2016 is still higher than the potential level. The inflation rate is expected to be lower than 2% in 2016 and 2017.

Bank of Japan maintained in April 8th

monetary policy

Unchanged, the basic currency will expand at the rate of 80 trillion yen per year.

The BoJ statement said that it would review the risks and make appropriate policy adjustments, and will continue to implement QQE until the inflation rate is stable at 2%, keeping the underlying monetary goal unchanged by 8-1 of the vote.

The US and Japan fell rapidly, and the US and Japan fell back in the US after 119.8.

Kuroda Higashihiko, the Bank of Japan, has no new views in his speech. Kuroda Higashihiko said that CPI would probably achieve its 2% inflation target in fiscal year 2015. Now it is too early to discuss any exit from easing policy, without changing the position of policy adjustment when necessary.

Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, thinks that there is a right way to raise interest rates ahead of time.

Economics

Risk of damage.

The Fed's Powell said it expected the economy to support a slight increase in interest rates in 2015. The first rate hike may be in June, and the expected inflation rate will gradually increase to 2%. The risk of higher interest rate hike in advance is higher than the risk of inflation.

Fed Dudley: do not think the US non farm data in March brought a significant "signal", the recent economic data unexpectedly down.

It is still possible to raise interest rates in June, depending on inflation and the performance of the labour market.

The Fed has yet to miss the opportunity to tighten monetary policy, with a salary increase of around 3%, which is more consistent with inflation target of 2%.

It is quite confident that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates in 2015.

In April 8th, Russian President Putin and Greek Prime Minister Tsipras discussed the promotion of trade cooperation. Putin and Qi Plath discussed the natural gas pipeline project in Turkey, which extends to Italy and Greece can become a European energy distribution center.

The railway construction in Russia will promote the modernization of the Greek ports.

Putin also said that if Greece had privatization projects, Russia was ready to participate, and Russia was interested in investing in Greece.

Overnight, the US dollar index picked up slightly, rising 16 basis points to 98.01. The 8 day Asian central bank's interest rate resolution 8:1 kept the monetary policy unchanged. An official suggested reducing QQE.

The minutes of the Fed meeting are euphemistic, but there is still a possibility of raising interest rates for the first time in June, and the US dollar has been boosted and recovered.


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